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Mamdani cruised to an easy win while losing amongst voters without a degree because in New York City, 59 percent of voters yesterday had college degrees.
That level of education in the electorate is not representative of the United States as a whole. In last year’s presidential election (for consistency’s sake, I’m citing exit poll data from CNN), only 43 percent of voters nationwide had college degrees. Kamala Harris beat Trump 56–42 amongst those voters. Amongst the 57 percent of voters without a college degree, Trump won by almost the exact reverse split, 56–43.
Democrats, nationwide, don’t need to make gains with college-educated voters. They need to make gains amongst voters without college degrees. There’s no other demographic gap that is more crucial for Democrats to address. Education trumps race, gender, income, and age. In 2020, Biden won college grads 55–43, and Trump won non-college-grads by a mere 50–48.
Siccome votano, vanno convinti. O, se preferite, “il centrosinistra trionfa nelle grandi città”. Suona familiare, come problema?